1-Hour Call Risk
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1-Hour Call Risk KPI
Probability (%) of receiving at least one emergency call in the immediate next 60 minutes based on real-time station weather and diurnal patterns.
Probability (%) of receiving at least one emergency call in the immediate next 60 minutes based on real-time station weather and diurnal patterns.
18.5%
MODERATE
3-Hour Call Risk
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3-Hour Call Risk KPI
Tactical probability (%) of receiving an emergency call over the upcoming 3-hour window. Used for crew readiness and short-term staffing allocations.
Tactical probability (%) of receiving an emergency call over the upcoming 3-hour window. Used for crew readiness and short-term staffing allocations.
42.1%
MODERATE
Expected 6h Volume
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Expected 6h Call Volume KPI
Predicted cumulative number of emergency calls expected across the entire 6-hour operational shift window.
Predicted cumulative number of emergency calls expected across the entire 6-hour operational shift window.
1.25
Predicted Calls
Est. Time to Next Call
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Est. Time to Next Call KPI
Machine learning regression estimate of inter-arrival delay (hours and minutes) before the next emergency dispatch occurs.
Machine learning regression estimate of inter-arrival delay (hours and minutes) before the next emergency dispatch occurs.
3.2 hrs
~192 minutes
📈 24-Hour Forward Call Risk Forecast
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24-Hour Forward Call Risk Chart
Plots the hourly emergency call risk profile over the upcoming 24 hours, capturing diurnal peak activity (midday and evening spikes).
Plots the hourly emergency call risk profile over the upcoming 24 hours, capturing diurnal peak activity (midday and evening spikes).
🚑 Incident Category Risk Breakdown
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Incident Category Risk Chart
Displays predicted breakdown across NERIS incident categories: Medical, Hazardous Situations (incl. MVAs), Fire, Public Service, and No Emergency/Cancelled.
Displays predicted breakdown across NERIS incident categories: Medical, Hazardous Situations (incl. MVAs), Fire, Public Service, and No Emergency/Cancelled.
⚡ 8.5-Year Feature Importances (XGBoost)
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Feature Importances Chart
Shows top predictive features driving emergency call probability across 8.5 years (diurnal hour, precipitation, temperature, recent call volume, wind speed).
Shows top predictive features driving emergency call probability across 8.5 years (diurnal hour, precipitation, temperature, recent call volume, wind speed).
🌡️ Weather Sensitivity (Temp vs Risk)
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Weather Sensitivity Chart
Illustrates how ambient temperature variations (winter freezes <32°F to summer heatwaves >85°F) impact emergency call dispatch risk.
Illustrates how ambient temperature variations (winter freezes <32°F to summer heatwaves >85°F) impact emergency call dispatch risk.